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Encyclopedia > Conditional probability distribution

Given two jointly distributed random variables X and Y, the conditional probability distribution of Y given X (written "Y | X") is the probability distribution of Y when X is known to be a particular value. A random variable is a mathematical function that maps outcomes of random experiments to numbers. ... In mathematics and statistics, a probability distribution, more properly called a probability density, assigns to every interval of the real numbers a probability, so that the probability axioms are satisfied. ...


For discrete random variables, the conditional probability mass function can be written as P(Y = y | X = x). From the definition of conditional probability, this is In mathematics, a random variable is discrete if its probability distribution is discrete; a discrete probability distribution is one that is fully characterized by a probability mass function. ... This article defines some terms which characterize probability distributions of two or more variables. ... This article defines some terms which characterize probability distributions of two or more variables. ...

Similarly for continuous random variables, the conditional probability density function can be written as pY|X(y | x) and this is By one convention, a random variable X is called continuous if its cumulative distribution function is continuous. ... In mathematics, a probability density function (pdf) serves to represent a probability distribution in terms of integrals. ...

where pX,Y(x, y) gives the joint distribution of X and Y, while pX(x) gives the marginal distribution for X. Given two random variables X and Y, the joint probability distribution of X and Y is the probability distribution of X and Y together. ... In probability theory, given two jointly distributed random variables X and Y, the marginal distribution of X is simply the probability distribution of X ignoring information about Y, typically calculated by summing or integrating the joint probability distribution over Y. For discrete random variables, the marginal probability mass function can...


The concept of the conditional distribution of a continuous random variable is not as intuitive as it might seem: Borel's paradox shows that conditional probability density functions need not be invariant under coordinate transformations. Borels paradox (sometimes known as the Borel-Kolmogorov paradox) is a paradox of probability theory relating to conditional probability density functions. ...


If for discrete random variables P(Y = y | X = x) = P(Y = y) for all x and y, or for continuous random variables pY|X(y | x) = pY(y) for all x and y, then Y is said to be independent of X (and this implies that X is also independent of Y).


Seen as a function of y for given x, P(Y = y | X = x) is a probability and so the sum over all y (or integral if it is a density) is 1. Seen as a function of x for given y, it is a likelihood function, so that the sum over all x need not be 1. In statistics, a likelihood function is a conditional probability function considered a function of its second argument with its first argument held fixed, thus: and also any other function proportional to such a function. ...


See also


  Results from FactBites:
 
Encyclopedia4U - Probability - Encyclopedia Article (1562 words)
Probability applications include even more than statistics, which is usually based on the idea of probability distributions and the central limit theorem.
To learn more about the basics of probability theory, see the article on probability axioms and the article on Bayes' theorem that explains the use of conditional probabilities in case where the occurrence of two events is related.
Governments typically apply probability methods in environment regulation where it is called "pathway analysis", and are often measuring well-being using methods that are stochastic in nature, and choosing projects to undertake based on their perceived probable impact on the population as a whole, statistically.
Conditional probability - Wikipedia, the free encyclopedia (593 words)
Conditional probability is the probability of some event A, given the occurrence of some other event B.
The marginal probability of A is written P(A), and the marginal probability of B is written P(B).
The conditional probability fallacy is the assumption that P(A
  More results at FactBites »


 

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