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Monthly Temperature Forecasts for Denmark - Statistical or Dynamical? (5536 words) |
 | Systematic combination of statistical and dynamical forecasts does not increase the level of skill, but for predictable months it is found that agreement between statistical predictions and predictions based on dynamical model forecasts for the first ten days of the forecast target month greatly increases the reliability of the statistical predictions. |
| Simulated temperature in 850 hPa and simulated mean sea level pressure were also tested as predictors, but they were not found to add to the skill of the monthly hindcasts obtained with the predictors listed in Tables 2-5. |
| As the simulated 2m temperature over land can still be affected by SST from adjacent grid points the predictive skill presented in Tables 2-5 for predictors of simulated 2m monthly mean temperature should be regarded as an upper limit. |
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