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Encyclopedia > Joint probability

This article defines some terms which characterize probability distributions of two or more variables.


Conditional probability is the probability of some event A, assuming event B. Conditional probability is written P(A|B), and is read "the probability of A, given B".


Joint probability is the probability of two events in conjunction. That is, it is the probability of both events together. The joint probability of A and B is written P(A, B).


Marginal probability is the probability of one event, ignoring any information about the other event. Marginal probability is obtained by summing (or integrating, more generally) the joint probability over the ignored event. The marginal probability of A is written P(A), and the marginal probability of B is written P(B).


In these definitions, note that there need not be a causal or temporal relation between A and B. A may precede B, or vice versa, or they may happen at the same time. A may cause B, or vice versa, or they may have no causal relation at all.


Relations

If A and B are events, and P(B) > 0, then

Equivalently, we have

If P(A,B) = P(A)P(B) (equivalently, P(A | B) = P(A)), then we say that A and B are independent.


If B is an event and P(B) > 0, then the function Q defined by Q(A) = P(A | B) for all events A is a probability measure.


If P(B) = 0, P(A | B) is left undefined.


Conditional probability is more easily calculated with a decision tree.


See also


  Results from FactBites:
 
Univariate Statistics - Intermediate Probability (1039 words)
The joint probability, then, can be determined by dividing the number of individuals within the cell by the total number of individuals.
Thus, the conditional probability is simply the joint probability divided by the marginal probability.
The notion of conditional probability is a very important one, perhaps one of the most useful in probability theory for research purposes.
Joint probability - definition of Joint probability in Encyclopedia (263 words)
Joint probability is the probability of two events in conjunction.
The joint probability of A and B is written P(A, B).
The marginal probability of A is written P(A), and the marginal probability of B is written P(B).
  More results at FactBites »


 

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