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Encyclopedia > Odds ratio

The odds ratio is a statistical measure particularly important in Bayesian statistics and logistic regression. Bayesian inference is statistical inference in which probabilities are interpreted not as frequencies or proportions or the like, but rather as degrees of belief. ... The logit (pronounced with a long o and a soft g, SAMPA /loUdZIt/) of a number p between 0 and 1 is Plot of logit in the range 0 to 1, base is e (The base of the logarithm function used here is of little importance in the present article...


It is defined as the ratio of the odds of an event occurring in one group to the odds of it occurring in another group, or to a data-based estimate of that ratio. These groups might be men and women, an experimental group and a control group, or any other dichotomous classification. So if the probabilities of the event in each of the groups are p (first group) and q (second group), then the odds-ratio is: In probability theory and statistics the odds in favor of an event or a proposition are the quantity p / (1 − p), where p is the probability of the event or proposition. ... From Latin ex- + -periri (akin to periculum attempt). ... A dichotomy is a division into two non-overlapping or mutually exclusive and jointly exhaustive parts. ...

{ p/(1-p) over q/(1-q)}=frac{;p(1-q);}{;(1-p)q;}.

An odds ratio of 1 indicates that the condition or event under study is equally likely in both groups. An odds ratio greater than 1 indicates that the condition or event is more likely in the first group. And an odds ratio less than 1 indicates that the condition or event is less likely in the first group. The odds ratio must be zero or greater than zero. As the odds of the first group approaches zero, the odds ratio approaches zero. As the odds of the second group approaches zero, the odds ratio approaches positive infinity.


For example, imagine that out of a sample of 100 men, 80 have drunk beer in the previous week, while a sample of 100 women reveals that only 20 have drunk beer during the previous seven days. The odds of a man drinking beer are 80 to 20, or 4:1 while the odds of a women drinking beer are only 20 to 80, or 1:4 = 0.25:1. Now, 4 divided by 0.25 equals 16. So the odds ratio is 16, showing that men are much more likely to drink beer than women. Using the above formula for the calculation yields:

{ 0.8/0.2 over 0.2/0.8}=frac{;0.8times 0.8;}{;0.2times 0.2;}={0.64 over 0.04} = 16.

The logarithm of the odds-ratio is the difference of the logits of the probabilities. Logarithms to various bases: red is to base e, green is to base 10, and purple is to base 1. ... In mathematics, especially as applied in statistics, the logit (pronounced with a long o and a soft g, IPA ) of a number p between 0 and 1 is Plot of logit in the range 0 to 1, base is e (The base of the logarithm function used here is of... The word probability derives from the Latin probare (to prove, or to test). ...


The increased use of logistic regression in medical and social science research means that the odds-ratio is commonly used as a means of expressing the results in some forms of clinical trials, such as case-controlled trials, and in survey research. It is often abbreviated "OR" in reports. When data from multiple surveys is combined, it will often be expressed as "Pooled OR". The logit (pronounced with a long o and a soft g, SAMPA /loUdZIt/) of a number p between 0 and 1 is Plot of logit in the range 0 to 1, base is e (The base of the logarithm function used here is of little importance in the present article... In medicine, a clinical trial (synonyms: clinical studies, research protocols, medical research) is a research study. ... A case-control study is a type of cross-sectional study used in medicine. ... Statistical surveys are used to collect quantitative information in the fields of marketing, political polling, and social science research. ...


See also

In statistics and mathematical epidemiology, relative risk (RR) of an event associated with the exposure is a ratio of probability of outcome of interest in exposed group versus treatment group. ...

External links


  Results from FactBites:
 
Odds - Wikipedia, the free encyclopedia (309 words)
In probability theory and statistics the odds in favor of an event or a proposition are the quantity p / (1 − p), where p is the probability of the event or proposition.
The logarithm of the odds is the logit of the probability.
The odds are a ratio of probabilities; an odds ratio is a ratio of odds, that is, a ratio of ratios of probabilities.
  More results at FactBites »


 

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