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Encyclopedia > Oil price increases of 2005
Gas prices in Portland, Oregon during the 2004 price increase, up from regular under $2 prices
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Gas prices in Portland, Oregon during the 2004 price increase, up from regular under $2 prices

The price of light, sweet crude oil on NYMEX has been above $40/barrel since late July 2004. By October the price of crude oil had temporarily surpassed $55/barrel. In the United States of America, the Consumer Price Index rose by 0.6% compared to 0.2% for September. This was driven by a 4.2% increase in energy costs. Nodding donkey pumping an oil well near Sarnia, Ontario, 2001 Petroleum (from Latin petrus – rock and oleum – oil), mineral oil, or crude oil, sometimes colloquially called black gold, is a thick, dark brown or greenish flammable liquid, which exists in the upper strata of some areas of the Earths... The New York Mercantile Exchange (NYMEX) is the worlds largest physical commodity futures exchange located in New York City. ... The United States of America — also referred to as the United States, the U.S.A., the U.S., America, the States, or (archaically) Columbia—is a federal republic of 50 states located primarily in central North America (with the exception of two states: Alaska and Hawaii). ... Consumer price index - Wikipedia /**/ @import /skins/monobook/IE50Fixes. ...


The cause is the current and expected demand in relation to the supply of petroleum. The supply and demand model describes how prices vary as a result of a balance between product availability at each price (supply) and the desires of those with purchasing power at each price (demand). ... The supply and demand model describes how prices vary as a result of a balance between product availability at each price (supply) and the desires of those with purchasing power at each price (demand). ...

Contents

Demand

High demand is coming from increased industry in emerging third world nations including India and especially China which is developing a large car culture. For the Jamaican reggae band, see Third World (band). ... The Republic of India is the second most populous country in the world, with a population of more than one billion, and is the seventh largest country by geographical area. ... The Great Wall of China, stretching over 6,700 km, was erected beginning in the 3rd century BC to guard the north from raids by men on horses. ...


Consumption in 2004 compared to 2003 according to DOE EIA estimates: [1]  (http://www.eia.doe.gov/emeu/international/petroleu.html)

  • World: 3.4% increase
  • China: 20%
  • UK: 8%
  • US: 6%
  • Asia outside Japan and China: 6%
Oil price in 2003-2005
Oil price in 2003-2005

Download high resolution version (1024x768, 18 KB)Daily oil prices of NYMEX Light Sweet Crude, prepared from data at http://octane. ... Download high resolution version (1024x768, 18 KB)Daily oil prices of NYMEX Light Sweet Crude, prepared from data at http://octane. ...

Supply

News articles have explained the low supply in the following ways: the war in Iraq, hurricane Ivan's damage to offshore oil platforms in the Caribbean, YUKOS in Russia, OPEC's (most notably Saudi Arabia's) failure to bring prices down via dipping into spare capacity (if it has spare capacity), civil unrest in oil producing West Africa especially Nigeria, worker's strikes and mechanical problems with oil production in Norway. It is an ever-growing list of explanations with new ones being added every month. For other uses of the term, see Iraq war (disambiguation) The 2003 invasion of Iraq (also called the 2nd or 3rd Persian Gulf War) began on March 20, 2003, when forces belonging primarily to the United States and the United Kingdom invaded Iraq without the explicit backing of the United... For other storms of the same name, see Hurricane Ivan (disambiguation). ... Nodding donkey pumping an oil well near Sarnia, Ontario, 2001 Petroleum (from Latin petra – rock and oleum – oil), crude oil, sometimes colloquially called black gold, is a thick, dark brown or greenish flammable liquid, which exists in the upper strata of some areas of the Earths crust. ... The Caribbean or the West Indies is a group of islands in the Caribbean Sea. ... Yukos logo Yukos Oil Company (ОАО НК ЮКОС) is a petroleum company in Russia which, until recently, was controlled by Russian billionaire Mikhail Khodorkovsky and a number of prominent Russian businessmen. ... The Organization of the Petroleum Exporting Countries (OPEC) is made up of Algeria, Indonesia, Iran, Iraq, Kuwait, Libya, Nigeria, Qatar, Saudi Arabia, the United Arab Emirates and Venezuela; since 1965, its international headquarters have been in Vienna, Austria. ... The Kingdom of Saudi Arabia is a country on the Arabian Peninsula. ... West Africa is the region of western Africa generally considered to include these countries: Benin Burkina Faso Cameroon Côte dIvoire (Ivory Coast) Equatorial Guinea Gabon The Gambia Ghana Guinea Guinea-Bissau Liberia Mali Niger Nigeria Republic of the Congo (Congo-Brazzaville) Senegal Sierra Leone Togo Chad, Mauritania, and... The Federal Republic of Nigeria is a country in West Africa and, by far, the most populated nation in Africa. ... Norway - Wikipedia /**/ @import /skins/monobook/IE50Fixes. ...


World supply (specification  (http://www.eia.doe.gov/emeu/ipsr/appb.html)) came in at 83 million barrels a day during 2004 in department of energy EIA calculations ([2]  (http://www.eia.doe.gov/emeu/international/petroleu.html)). This rate of increase is faster then that of any other date in the past.


Spring 2005 increase

After prices retreating for several months during the winter of 2004/2005 prices rose to new highs in March 2005. The price of light, sweet crude oil on NYMEX has been above $50/barrel since March 5, 2005. On March 16, 2005, the price surpassed the October 2004 high of $55.17 closing at $56.46. On March 18, the price beat this rising to $57.60. This made the price 50% higher than its year-ago level. It should be noted that the $50-$60 range is still well below the all-time inflation-adjusted high seen in 1980 of $90. Nodding donkey pumping an oil well near Sarnia, Ontario, 2001 Petroleum (from Latin petrus – rock and oleum – oil), mineral oil, or crude oil, sometimes colloquially called black gold, is a thick, dark brown or greenish flammable liquid, which exists in the upper strata of some areas of the Earths... The New York Mercantile Exchange (NYMEX) is the worlds largest physical commodity futures exchange located in New York City. ... The dollar is the name of the official currency in several countries, dependencies and other regions (see list below), including the US dollar, the worlds most widely circulated currency (see list below). ...


This spike was largely lacking the immediate causes of the fall of 2004. During this period the Bush administration was expanding the Strategic Petroleum Reserve at a rate of 250,000 barrels per day. Reasons for these price increases vary depending on the analyst. One is the fact that winter in the US was colder than usual, although this became less and less relevant as year progressed towards spring. Another reason is that world demand also continues to increase, helped by the stellar growth of India and China. Finally, the dollar continues to slump against the euro. Oil is traded in dollars, and so in order for OPEC to maintain buying power in Europe, oil prices must increase. Some analysts thus feel that the increases are permanent and prices may go much higher. Goldman Sachs released an report predicting that prices could hit $100 at some unspecified date. The Strategic Petroleum Reserve (SPR) is an emergency petroleum store maintained by the United States Department of Energy. ... The Goldman Sachs Group, Inc. ...


In April 2005 prices began to fall, reaching $53.32 on April 9.


Effects

While some see these increases in the price of oil leading to a recession comparable to those that followed the 1973 and 1979 energy crises most economist see this as unlikely. All developed countries have high fuel taxes that decrease as oil prices increase and can be eliminated in the event of a dramatic price spike. The American Strategic Petroleum Reserve could serve a similar role in overcoming price increases in an emergency. Some say that western economies are about half as reliant on oil as they were thirty years ago, siting that in the United States, for instance, each $1000 dollars in GDP required 1.43 barrels of oil in 1970. In 2000 this number had fallen to 0.74, though these figures may not include adjustments for inflation. (Redirected from 1973 energy crisis) United States, drivers of vehicles with odd numbered license plates were allowed to purchase gasoline only on odd-numbered days of the month, while drivers with even-numbers were limited to even-numbered days. ... The 1979 (or second) energy crisis occurred in the wake of the Iranian Revolution. ... The Strategic Petroleum Reserve (SPR) is an emergency petroleum store maintained by the United States Department of Energy. ... GDP is an acronym which can stand for more than one thing: (in economics) an abbreviation for Gross Domestic Product. ...


See also

An Energy Crisis is any great shortfall (or price rise) in the supply of energy to an economy. ... (Redirected from 1973 energy crisis) United States, drivers of vehicles with odd numbered license plates were allowed to purchase gasoline only on odd-numbered days of the month, while drivers with even-numbers were limited to even-numbered days. ... The 1979 (or second) energy crisis occurred in the wake of the Iranian Revolution. ... The 1990 (or third) energy crisis was the mildest and most brief of them all. ... This is a list of notable recessions, depressions and downturns. ... The Hubbert curve, named after the geophysicist M. King Hubbert, is the derivative of the logistic curve. ... The Hubbert peak theory, also known as peak oil, is an influential theory concerning the long-term rate of conventional oil production and depletion. ... Nodding donkey pumping an oil well near Sarnia, Ontario, 2001 Petroleum (from Latin petra – rock and oleum – oil), crude oil, sometimes colloquially called black gold, is a thick, dark brown or greenish flammable liquid, which exists in the upper strata of some areas of the Earths crust. ...

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