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Encyclopedia > Uncomfortable science

Uncomfortable science is the term coined by statistician John Tukey for cases in which there is a need to draw an inference from a limited sample of data, where further samples influenced by the same cause system will not be available. More specifically, it involves the analysis of a finite natural phenomenon for which it is difficult to overcome the problem of using a common sample of data for both exploratory data analysis and confirmatory data analysis. This leads to the danger of statistical bias through testing hypotheses suggested by the data.


A typical example is Bode's law, which provides a simple numerical rule for the distances of the planets in the solar system from the Sun. Once the rule has been derived, through the trial and error matching of various rules with the observed data (exploratory data analysis), there are not enough planets remaining for a rigorous and independent test of the hypothesis (confirmatory data analysis). We have exhausted the natural phenomena. The agreement between data and the numerical rule should be no surprise, as we have deliberately chosen the rule to match the data. If we are concerned about what Bode's law tells us about the cause system of planetary distribution then we demand confirmation which is not available.


See also


  Results from FactBites:
 
Uncomfortable science - definition of Uncomfortable science in Encyclopedia (242 words)
Uncomfortable science - definition of Uncomfortable science in Encyclopedia
Uncomfortable science is the term coined by statistician John Tukey for cases in which there is a need to draw an inference from a limited sample of data, where further samples influenced by the same cause system will not be available.
More specifically, it involves the analysis of a finite natural phenomenon for which it is difficult to overcome the problem of using a common sample of data for both exploratory data analysis and confirmatory data analysis.
Physical law - Wikipedia, the free encyclopedia (1398 words)
Laws of nature are distinct from legal code and religious Law, and should not be confused with the concept of natural law.
This is very strongly argued against by the spectacular efficacy of science – its power to solve otherwise intractable problems, and make accurate predictions – and by the fact that newly-discovered laws have typically suggested the existence of previously unknown or undiscovered phenomena, which have then been confirmed to exist.
Many of these laws fall within the scope of uncomfortable science.
  More results at FactBites »


 

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